Dear Friends,

Happy 2009! When I was a child, 2000 seemed so far away that I was sure that the world would have completely changed. In 2009, we can look back to just the changes in one short year and be amazed at how time flies! Of course, the biggest change is perhaps the election here in the USA—a paradigm change is in store for 2009 as the newly elected officials try their hand at addressing the country’s challenges and opportunities.

I am heading west for two shows that always highlight this rapid pace of change. Nothing changes quite as fast as technology and with Macworld and the Consumer Electronics Show, I should get good exposure to this year’s developments. I am looking forward to 2009 with a lot of hope and enthusiasm even as we endure difficult times.

Happy New Year to all the readers of Kibbles & Bytes!

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  • 2009 Prognostications

    You are looking fine in 2009
    Drink fine wine in 2009
    Cubbies Vine in 2009
    Toe the line in 2009

    I have been making annual predictions in Kibbles for over a decade, so here’s an HTML version of this year’s gaze into that dusty MacPlus.

    *SPORTS*

    *MLB Baseball*
    It’s this year, it really is! Chicago Cubs go all the way to the World Series and become world champs. I’m buying my traditional sports book ticket when I go to Vegas for CES next week. Count on it–this year is “next year;” Cubs over the Yankees in 6.

    *NBA Basketball*
    Boston Celtics World Champions–boy, do I like the sound of that. Yes, they will repeat, beating the Lakers in 7.

    *NFL Football*
    The Chicago Bears will find a new quarterback that will be their first all-pro since Sid Luckman.

    *NHL Hockey*
    OK, I won’t slam hockey this year; yearning for the days of Mikita, Hull, Hall and Moose Vasko, I am predicting that the Blackhawks will win the Stanley Cup.

    *WEATHER*

    Another good start to the winter, but temperatures will be unusually warm with little snow until mid-February with at least three dumps of over 2 feet this year. An early and dry spring will give way to a warm May and June, a wet July and a hot August. It will be one of the most brilliant fall foliage seasons. There will be an active hurricane season in the Caribbean Sea.

    *POLITICS*

    Barack Obama will embark on the most massive economic recovery in the history of the country, providing millions of new jobs and stimulating the creation of new industries for energy conservation, renewable energy product and electric cars.

    A new spirit of bi-partisanship will allow Congress and the White House to work together to make progress on important issues like health care reform within the first 6 months of the administration.

    Al Franken will finally win the disputed Minnesota Senate seat becoming the first avowed comedian in the US Senate.

    *WORLD*

    * The US will begin withdrawing troops from Iraq with less than 50,000 troops left by Christmas 2009.
    * Troop build-up will continue until the fall when a cross-border attack with Predator drones makes a confirmed kill of Osama bin Laden.
    * Troop strength will be reduced by Christmas with the strengthening of the Afghani government and the cut-off of support for that Taliban.
    * Afghanistan will continue to demand attention and the US will learn what the Russians have learned before, that a hot war in Afghanistan is a morass.
    * A renewed diplomatic effort, led by Hillary Clinton will result in an Isreali/ Palestinian 2-state solution but only after the Israeli army effectively dismantles Hamas.
    * The USA will loosen the embargo on Cuba, allowing travel and free flow of capital. Cuba will become a renewed tourist destination for Americans.

    *ECONOMY*

    * Gas prices will reach a low of $1.40/gallon and then begin a sharp rise in the summer based both on increases in the gasoline tax and increases in demand.
    * Energy efficiency will be the mantra of US car companies and they attempt to re-invent themselves with the help of taxpayer money. Development and production of more efficient vehicles will begin.
    * The stock market will rally in January and February, decline in the spring and rebound by the end of the year. The Dow will break 10,000 by year-end.
    * Unemployment will rise to to a national level of 8.8% by mid-year and will decline to below 6% by year-end.

    *APPLE*

    * Apple stock will recover with the economy and hit $175/share by July.
    * Apple will continue to post record revenues and earnings despite the poor economy.
    * Apple will introduce a netbook (something between an iPod touch and a MacBook Air)
    * Apple will introduce at least one new form factor for Macs
    * Apple will spend some of its $25 Billion in cash on an interesting acquisition.
    * Apple will allow its top independent resellers to sell the iPhone.

    *SMALL DOG ELECTRONICS*

    * Small Dog Electronics will open one large and one small new store in 2009.
    * Small Dog will post record revenues and profits.
    * Small Dog Electronics will hold another successful eWaste event with over 150 tons recycled.
    * Small Dog Electronics will win at least one prestigious award.

    *PERSONAL*

    * I will not wear a tie again this year
    * I will see hippos in the wild
    * I will not buy a new motorcycle
    * I will lose 25 pounds and keep it off

  • APPLE Apple stock will recover with the economy and hit $175/share by July. Apple will continue to post record revenues and earnings despite…

  • I’m off to San Francisco on Sunday and a full slate of meetings all week. I’ll make time to get on the show floor, but it is the meetings that make this event special and what I will miss since this is the last year of Apple at Macworld.

    Thank you for reading this issue of Kibbles & Bytes!

    Your Kibbles & Bytes Team,
    _Don, Kali and Ed_

  • ECONOMY Gas prices will reach a low of $1.40/gallon and then begin a sharp rise in the summer based both on increases in…

  • Small Dog Macworld Predictions

    This year is the last year that Apple is planning to present at Macworld, and I feel a slight sense of mourning for the pomp and circumstance of the whole thing. However, on a more positive note, we’re betting it will lead to further innovation and inevitably, more exciting things from Apple.

    I’ve gathered the top three picks from Small Doggers in what will prove to be the last list of predictions for new Apple products at Macworld, so without further ado, here they are:

    *DON*
    * New iMacs with faster processors & new look (and Blu-Ray?)
    * New Mac mini
    * New Apple Cinema Displays with a look consistent with the 24″

    *ED*
    * New Mac mini with a cool black & silver enclosure and built-in Apple TV features. Larger SATA hard drives
    * New iWork and iLife applications
    * An updated and Apple-branded DeLorean DMC-12. While there is no built-in blu-ray, a Flux Capacitor is optional.

    *KALI*
    * New Apple Cinema Displays
    * Smaller/cheaper iPhone and more software features (native copy/paste, etc.)
    * Limited edition Steve Jobs black turtleneck and jeans combo auction for charity

    *TOD*
    * Update to Mac mini
    * Better MacBook Air
    * Steve Jobs will step down!

    *MATT*
    * Quad core imacs and/or unibody mac mini
    * Updated displays
    * 32GB iPhone

    *KELLI*
    * Touch screen notebook–or return of the “Newton” with a larger touchscreen–taking the touch to the next level of computing and rival the new touch screen HP.
    * A more powerful, economical, and aluminum cased Mac mini to keep a desktop model in the lower price range for “switchers”… and in response to the current economy
    * A lower priced addition to the MacBook family

    *MARK*
    * Apple buys GM for a song, and we will have really cool cars in a year or so

    *JON*
    * New line of Displays with larger sizes and better resolution and pixel depth
    * New iMacs and Mac minis
    * The illusive iPhone mini or a reduced cost iPhone product

    *GEOFF*
    * Apple TV update
    * iLife ’09
    * Steve Jobs playing a lesser role

    *BEN*
    * Mac mini redesign/upgrade: Black on Aluminum Case Design, Intel 9400M Graphics, Upgraded Processor/HD Capacities, HDMI Port
    * 17″ MacBook Pro: The 17” will adopt the new “Unibody” design released in late 2008. Might even have 2.8Ghz Core 2 Duo by default!
    * Quad Core iMacs: Upgraded processors, display port, case redesign (all aluminum with black–just like 24″ LED display!)

    *ROB*
    * Mac mini and Apple TV combined!
    * Changes to Channel Sales @ Apple
    * New iPod touch

  • Gentlemen, We Can Rebuild Him. We Have the Technology.

    __The following is the first in a new occasional series about using your Mac and other technology to maintain your health and fitness.__

    Recognize the title of this article? It’s from the opening sequence to the old “Six Million Dollar Man”:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=39co0zKbQAQ TV show. Lately, I feel like a bionic man as I use technology–an iPod, my Mac, the Internet–to get back into shape. I used to be a dedicated runner (though not nearly to the level of “Adam Engst”:http://db.tidbits.com/author/Adam%20C.%20Engst), but stopped running for a number of reasons. Recently, however, I rediscovered my affection for the sport when I went on a random run a couple of weeks ago.

    Also, as I get older, it’s getting more important to strive to stay in shape. Turns out sitting at a computer all day–even a Mac–does not magically confer fitness.

    A couple of years ago I ran the “KeyBank Vermont City Marathon”:http://www.runvermont.org/ in Burlington with a friend and profoundly enjoyed it. I didn’t train much for that event, but I made it to the finish line in fine shape. For 2009, I’ve decided to again run the marathon–this time, with proper training.

    I’m using the “Nike+”:http://www.smalldog.com/product/72840 system to keep myself motivated and to track my progress. “Nike+”:http://www.smalldog.com/product/72840 is composed of a small radio transmitter (about the size of a pinto bean) that attaches to you’re running shoe (or can be used in the built-in pocket of Nike+ running shoes). It communicates with a small radio receiver that plugs into the bottom of any iPod nano. The receiver is built into the 2nd generation iPod touch, but still requires the transmitter on the shoe.

    Since I almost always run with my iPod, this system is easy for me to adapt into my running routine. Indeed, I find music sounds and feels best while running through an interesting landscape.

    As you run, the iPod vocalizes your time, distance, pace, and calories burned through your headphones. It also gives feedback at the halfway point and in the final lead-up to your goal, which you can set up before your run. You can also see the details of your workout on the iPod’s screen. You can also program a PowerSong to play when you need instant motivation.

    When your run is finished, connect the iPod nano or iPod touch to a Mac or PC, and the workout data automatically syncs to “Nikeplus.com”:http://nikeplus.nike.com/nikeplus/ (though iTunes). Login at “Nikeplus.com”:http://nikeplus.nike.com/nikeplus/ to view and analyze your time, distance, overall milage, and approximate calories burned by run, by week, or by month. You can also view Google Maps with an overlay of your routes, view popular running routes in your region, and create new routes for future reference. It’s not a GPS, but still useful and fun.

    Via Nike+, you can share your stats, routes, and goals, or simply keep your information private. I’ll share my info in February, when marathon training really begins.

    There are a couple of weaknesses with the system. First, while the Nike+ website looks great, it’s also a rather slow-loading Flash blob. Second, on the Nike+ website, the window for creating your running maps is too small. Finally, some have complained that the Nike+ is not 100% accurate in tracking milage. For my fitness/fun needs, the information provided will be very useful.

    Also, I wish there was a Nike+ empowered iPod shuffle. I actually prefer to run with the shuffle, because it’s so small and has the built-in clip.

    One extra gadget I’m getting is the Amp+. It’s a wristwatch-based remote control for iPods equipped with Nike+. With the remote on your wrist, you can browse through your song library, choose new tracks to listen to, and view your running times. Pretty cool. If it works well, I expect to use it to control the iPod in other activities such as snowboarding (though I generally don’t listen to music while actually riding). As far as I can see, this watch is only available via the Nike website.

    Like they said in the 6 Million Dollar Man, I hope to use these tools to get better than I was. “Better. Stronger. Faster.”:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tP6TEEBVeYU Cue the wah wah music.